KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mexico (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 3:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Mexico
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Mexico 98%+47.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$785.1K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 62 days ago
StaleJun 28, 26, 12:40 AMJul 15, 26, 1:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Mexico99%
No Goal1%
Ecuador1%
98%
1%
1%
Rules
If Mexico records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Ecuador records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Mexico vs Ecuador professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
