KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: France (99%)
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, 10:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
France
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityFrance 98%+10.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$233.7K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 35 days ago
StaleJun 10, 26, 6:00 PMJul 6, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
France99%
No Goal1%
Iraq1%
98%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· France
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $233.7K | $2.6K | 35 days ago | |
 Polymarket92% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $1.8K | $0 | 34 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
France vs. Iraq - First Team to Score
12.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
France (100%)
+12.4pt100%
-2.9pt0%
-9.9pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$113.2K
24h Vol$1.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If France records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Iraq records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
$141.2KLincoln Red Imps advances: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$38.4KQatar: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIHeart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
$29.1KHeart of Midlothian advances: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$19.2KSpain: 20.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$750Yes: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
$500USA: 10.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen rules on sports prediction markets: reportThe Block
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
If France records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Iraq records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.