England vs Argentina: First Team to Score
7.0 pts (24h)SportsOne-OffSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: England (49%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 8:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
England
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
48%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
England 46.2%+1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$986.1K
Liquidity
$855K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 4:40 AMJul 29, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
England49%
No Goal15%
Argentina42%
46.2%
39.6%
14.2%
Rules
If England records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Argentina records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.