KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Alex Baena (99%)
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, 2:20 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Alex Baena
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityLamine Yamal 1%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$110.4K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJun 26, 26, 10:56 PMJul 11, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Lamine Yamal1%
Mikel Oyarzabal1%
Pedri5%
Darwin Nunez9%
Federico Valverde7%
Maxi Araujo5%
Agustin Canobbio6%
Aymeric Laporte3%
Marcos Llorente3%
Marc Cucurella3%
Alex Baena99%
Mikel Merino95%
Rodri4%
Manuel Ugarte2%
Sebastian Caceres1%
Juan Sanabria2%
Pau Cubarsi2%
Guillermo Varela2%
No Goal2%
Mathias Olivera0%
Rodrigo Bentancur0%
1%
1%
5%
9%
5%
5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026.
- If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start.
- Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the player's goals scored.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the next non-own-goal scored.
- If Sebastian Caceres records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.