Current implied probability
Trace Esports 15%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$148.4K
Liquidity
$102.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 17, 26, 4:55 PMJul 21, 26, 7:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Trace Esports15%
Compare venues· Nova Esports
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 83% | +17pt | $148.4K | $102.4K | 20 minutes ago | |
 Limitless90% match · auto | Low | 50% | -16pt | $0 | $0 | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Trace Esports vs Nova Esports
21h
50%
50%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.1
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If Nova Esports wins the VCT China Stage 2 2026: Nova Esports vs.
- Trace Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the full match in the VCT China Stage 2 2026: Nova Esports vs.
- Trace Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.8k62.0%KALSHITrace Esports — No28m ago
KALSHITrace Esports — No28m ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHITrace Esports — No40m ago
KALSHITrace Esports — No40m agoVolume trend
$148.4kJul 173d of dataJul 19
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If Nova Esports wins the VCT China Stage 2 2026: Nova Esports vs.
- Trace Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the full match in the VCT China Stage 2 2026: Nova Esports vs.
- Trace Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.