KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 158.750 to 158.999 (63%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
158.750 to 158.999
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Current implied probability
158.750 to 158.999 58.9%Leader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
17.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 2:00 PMAug 21, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
158.750 to 158.99963%
158.500 to 158.74915%
158.250 to 158.4992%
159.000 to 159.24921%
157.750 to 157.9991%
159.500 to 159.7493%
159.250 to 159.49911%
159.750 to 159.9995%
156.749 or below3%
157.250 to 157.49910%
160.0 or above5%
157.500 to 157.7493%
157.000 to 157.2491%
158.000 to 158.2491%
156.750 to 156.9992%
58.9%
14%
9.3%
6.5%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Rules
If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is below 156.750 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is between 156.750-156.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is between 157.000-157.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is between 157.250-157.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is between 157.500-157.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is between 157.750-157.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USD/JPY price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT??
- Kalshi prices 158.750 to 158.999 at 59% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does USD/JPY price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? resolve?
- USD/JPY price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is USD/JPY price on Aug 21, 2026 at 10am EDT? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for August 21, 2026 is below 156.750 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
