KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals (99%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 1:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Probability Timeline
Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals99%
Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Montevideo City wins by more than 1.5 goals12%
Montevideo City wins by more than 2.5 goals5%
Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goalsWon
Montevideo City wins by more than 2.5 goalsLost
Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goalsLost
Montevideo City wins by more than 1.5 goalsLost
Nacional wins by more than 3.5 goalsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketCA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque - Second Half Result
PolymarketCA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque - Exact Score
PolymarketMontevideo City vs Danubio
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRules
If Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Nacional wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Montevideo City wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Montevideo City wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Nacional wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Montevideo City wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Montevideo City wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nacional wins by more than 3.5 goals
- If Nacional wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Nacional vs Montevideo City professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
