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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje: Round of Victory
Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje: Round of Victory

Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje: Round of Victory

SportsOne-OffCombat SportsSoccer17d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Ilia Topuria to win in Round 1
Ilia Topuria to win in Round 1 38%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$146.8

Liquidity

$410.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 8, 26, 6:31 PMJun 29, 26, 2:10 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Ilia Topuria to win in Round 138%

Rules

If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Ilia Topuria vs.

Kalshi
  • Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Ilia Topuria vs.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Ilia Topuria vs.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Ilia Topuria vs.

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Rules

If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Ilia Topuria vs.

Kalshi
  • Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Ilia Topuria vs.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Ilia Topuria vs.
  • If Ilia Topuria wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Ilia Topuria vs.