KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: David Martinez by Decision (99%)
Resolved: Sep 12, 2026, 9:51 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
David Martinez by Decision
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
57%
Current implied probability
David Martinez by Decision 94.3%+46.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$403.6K
Liquidity
$349.3K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 9:10 PM UTCSep 26, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
David Martinez by KO/TKO/DQ1%
David Martinez by Decision99%
Dan Ige by KO/TKO/DQ1%
Dan Ige by Decision11%
David Martinez by Submission6%
Dan Ige by Submission12%
Draw/No Contest1%
94.3%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki: Method of Victory
KalshiWaldo Cortes-Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes: Method of Victory
KalshiManon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso: Method of Victory
KalshiNoche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)
PolymarketNoche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)
PolymarketJean Silva vs Jose Delgado: Method of Victory
KalshiRules
If David Martinez wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the David Martinez vs Dan Ige UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If David Martinez wins by Submission during the David Martinez vs Dan Ige UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Martinez wins by Decision during the David Martinez vs Dan Ige UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Dan Ige wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the David Martinez vs Dan Ige UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
