KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Islam Makhachev by Decision (99%)
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Islam Makhachev by Decision
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
37%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityIslam Makhachev by Decision 94.3%+62.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.8M
Liquidity
$10M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 26, 2:40 AMAug 30, 26, 2:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Ian Machado Garry by Decision1%
Islam Makhachev by Submission1%
Islam Makhachev by KO/TKO/DQ1%
Ian Machado Garry by KO/TKO/DQ1%
Islam Makhachev by Decision99%
Draw/No Contest1%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
94.3%
0.9%
0.9%
Rules
If Islam Makhachev wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If Islam Makhachev wins by Submission during the Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Islam Makhachev wins by Decision during the Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ian Machado Garry wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.