KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Submission (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
KO/TKO/DQ1%
Submission99%
Draw/No Contest1%
Decision1%
Won
Before close: 26% ·
Lost
Before close: 41% ·
Lost
Before close: 9% ·
Lost
Before close: 23% ·
Rules
If either competitor wins by Submission during the Brendan Allen vs. Christian Duncan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Submission
- If either competitor wins by Submission during the Brendan Allen vs. Christian Duncan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- KO/TKO/DQ
- If either competitor wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Brendan Allen vs. Christian Duncan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Draw/No Contest
- If the result is Draw/No Contest during the Brendan Allen vs. Christian Duncan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Decision
- If either competitor wins by Decision during the Brendan Allen vs. Christian Duncan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
