KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Islam Makhachev (99%)
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Islam Makhachev
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
76%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityIslam Makhachev 99%+23.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.3M
Liquidity
$25.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 6, 26, 6:54 PMAug 30, 26, 1:50 AM
Probability Timeline
Ian Machado Garry1%
Islam Makhachev99%
1%
99%
Rules
If Islam Makhachev wins the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026.
- If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks).
- If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters.
- If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.