KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mackenzie Dern (99%)
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 3:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Mackenzie Dern
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityMackenzie Dern 99%+34.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.7M
Liquidity
$6.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 6, 26, 6:54 PMAug 30, 26, 1:20 AM
Probability Timeline
Gillian Robertson1%
Mackenzie Dern99%
99%
1%
Rules
If Mackenzie Dern wins the Dern vs Robertson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Dern vs Robertson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026.
- If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks).
- If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters.
- If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.