KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Manoel Sousa (99%)
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, 10:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 8, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityManoel Sousa 99%+26.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$1.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 26, 4:40 AMAug 22, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Richie Miranda1%
Manoel Sousa99%
99%
1%
Rules
If Manoel Sousa wins the Sousa vs Miranda professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Sousa vs Miranda professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026.
- If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks).
- If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters.
- If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.