KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Stephanie Bruna Luciano (99%)
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 2:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Stephanie Bruna Luciano
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
76%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityStephanie Bruna Luciano 99%+23.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$944.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 28, 26, 4:40 PMAug 15, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Stephanie Bruna Luciano99%
Marina Spasic1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Marina Spasic wins the Spasic vs Luciano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Spasic vs Luciano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026.
- If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks).
- If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters.
- If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.