Current implied probability
86° or above 33%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 64.0%
Spread
326.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 3:00 PMJul 14, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
86° or above33%
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If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Jul 14, 2026 12 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 81.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The official, final value for this market is the temperature reported by the The Weather Company, not any other weather service.
- NWS Climatological Reports, Google Weather, etc. may be useful references, but are not authoritative for resolution.
- Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If the temperature recorded at Central Park, New York City for Jul 14, 2026 12 PM EDT as reported by The Weather Company (for coordinates KNYC), is above 82.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.