This market resolved: $77 or above (85%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 10:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- $77 or above
- Recorded
- Jul 12, 2026, 11:51 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probability$78 or above 1%Leader of 75 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.3K
Liquidity
$7.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 12, 26, 9:00 PMJul 12, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
$78 or above1%
$77 or above85%
$105 or above1%
$76 or above99%
$79 or above2%
$38 or above0%
$39 or above0%
$40 or above0%
$41 or above0%
$42 or above0%
$43 or above0%
$44 or above0%
$45 or above0%
$46 or above0%
$47 or above0%
$48 or above0%
$49 or above0%
$50 or above0%
$51 or above0%
$52 or above0%
$53 or above0%
$54 or above0%
$55 or above0%
$56 or above0%
$57 or above0%
$58 or above0%
$59 or above0%
$60 or above0%
$61 or above0%
$62 or above0%
$63 or above0%
$64 or above0%
$65 or above0%
$66 or above0%
$67 or above0%
$68 or above0%
$69 or above0%
$70 or above0%
$71 or above0%
$72 or above0%
$73 or above0%
$74 or above0%
$75 or above0%
$80 or above0%
$81 or above0%
$82 or above0%
$83 or above0%
$84 or above0%
$85 or above0%
$86 or above0%
$87 or above0%
$88 or above0%
$89 or above0%
$90 or above0%
$91 or above0%
$92 or above0%
$93 or above0%
$94 or above0%
$95 or above0%
$96 or above0%
$97 or above0%
$98 or above0%
$99 or above0%
$100 or above0%
$101 or above0%
$102 or above0%
$103 or above0%
$104 or above0%
$106 or above0%
$107 or above0%
$108 or above0%
$109 or above0%
$110 or above0%
$111 or above0%
$112 or above0%
1%
85%
1%
99%
2%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 6 PM EDT is above $37.9999 at 6 PM EDT on Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 6 PM EDT is above $38.9999 at 6 PM EDT on Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.