Data quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$0.0000009 or below 0%Leader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is below 0.000001000 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices.
- If the simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.000001000-0.000001499 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.