KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 10 inches 26%Market line of 6 lines
Above 10 inches 26%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$12
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Rules
If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 10 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- The total is the sum of The Weather Company's daily precipitation values at KAPC from December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, inclusive, using its reporting days. If The Weather Company publishes a total for that exact period, that total takes precedence. Data: https://weather.com/kalshi.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 10 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 10 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 8 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 12 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6 inches
- If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
