KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Sep 5, 2026, 3:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
53%
Current implied probability
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points 99%+46.0ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.4M
Liquidity
$2.1M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 3:41 PMSep 5, 26, 3:24 AM
Probability Timeline
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points53%
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points1%
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points61%
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points1%
Michigan St. wins by over 17.5 points31%
Michigan St. wins by over 21.5 points20%
Michigan St. wins by over 14.5 points1%
Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points1%
Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points99%
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points99%
Michigan St. wins by over 16.5 points1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Michigan St. wins by more than 33.5 points in the Toledo vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Michigan St. wins by more than 30.5 points in the Toledo vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.