KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Michigan St. (99%)
Resolved: Sep 5, 2026, 3:27 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Michigan St.
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
77%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Michigan St. 99%+22.0pt
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.5M
Liquidity
$3.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 3:41 PMSep 5, 26, 3:24 AM
Probability Timeline
Michigan St.99%
Toledo23%
99%
1%
Rules
If Michigan St. wins the Toledo vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Toledo wins the Toledo vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIMiami (FL) vs Stanford: Spread
- Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points+6.0pt99%
- Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points+5.0pt99%
- Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 points+9.0pt98%
+21 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.6M
- 24h Vol
- $5.4M
KALSHIMiami (FL) vs Stanford
- Miami (FL)+5.0pt99%
- Stanford-6.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $4.9M
- 24h Vol
- $4.5M
KALSHISvitolina vs Kalinskaya
- Elina Svitolina-6.0pt64.4%
- Anna Kalinskaya+6.0pt35.6%
- Total Vol
- $4.4M
- 24h Vol
- $4.2M
KALSHILIU vs Kansas
- Kansas99%
- LIU1%
- Total Vol
- $3.7M
- 24h Vol
- $3.5M
KALSHITampa Bay vs Texas
- Tampa Bay+21.0pt72.3%
- Texas-21.0pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
KALSHIToledo vs Michigan St.: Spread
- Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points+16.0pt93%
- Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points89%
- Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points+16.0pt86%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Toledo vs Michigan St.?
- Kalshi prices Michigan St. at 99% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Toledo vs Michigan St. resolve?
- Toledo vs Michigan St. is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Toledo vs Michigan St. settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Michigan St. wins the Toledo vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.