KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: North Dakota St. wins by over 6.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Aug 30, 2026, 1:04 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
North Dakota St. wins by over 6.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
53%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 30, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
North Dakota St. wins by over 6.5 points 99%+45.0ptLeader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 12:47 AMAug 31, 26, 9:30 PM
Probability Timeline
North Dakota St. wins by over 11.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 17.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 3.5 points99%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 2.5 points22%
North Dakota St. wins by over 6.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 16.5 points99%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 4.5 points16%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 14.5 points4%
North Dakota St. wins by over 20.5 points78%
North Dakota St. wins by over 2.5 points66%
North Dakota St. wins by over 5.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 10.5 points99%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 7.5 points8%
North Dakota St. wins by over 7.5 points99%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 13.5 points4%
North Dakota St. wins by over 4.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 23.5 points82%
North Dakota St. wins by over 13.5 points99%
North Dakota St. wins by over 21.5 points76%
North Dakota St. wins by over 14.5 points99%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 6.5 points1%
North Dakota St. wins by over 24.5 points73%
North Dakota St. wins by over 27.5 points67%
Jacksonville St. wins by over 1.5 points1%
North Dakota St. wins by over 1.5 points99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
96%
82%
78%
76%
73%
67%
1%
Rules
If North Dakota St. wins by more than 27.5 points in the Jacksonville St. vs North Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If North Dakota St. wins by more than 24.5 points in the Jacksonville St. vs North Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
