KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Virginia wins by over 4.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Aug 29, 2026, 10:49 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Virginia wins by over 4.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
47%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Virginia wins by over 4.5 points 99%+51.0ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.6M
Liquidity
$2.5M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 12:47 AMAug 31, 26, 7:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Virginia wins by over 5.5 points99%
North Carolina St. wins by over 9.5 points14%
Virginia wins by over 20.5 points42%
Virginia wins by over 4.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 7.5 points69%
Virginia wins by over 1.5 points61%
North Carolina St. wins by over 14.5 points6%
North Carolina St. wins by over 11.5 points9%
Virginia wins by over 3.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 6.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 9.5 points99%
North Carolina St. wins by over 4.5 points25%
North Carolina St. wins by over 5.5 points23%
Virginia wins by over 17.5 points96%
Virginia wins by over 13.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 10.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 16.5 points94%
Virginia wins by over 14.5 points99%
Virginia wins by over 2.5 points97%
Virginia wins by over 11.5 points99%
North Carolina St. wins by over 1.5 points1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
97%
96%
94%
69%
42%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Virginia wins by more than 20.5 points in the North Carolina St. vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Virginia wins by more than 17.5 points in the North Carolina St. vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
