KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Stanford wins by over 4.5 points (92%)
Resolved: Aug 30, 2026, 2:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 30, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Stanford wins by over 2.5 points 99%+40.0ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7M
Liquidity
$2.2M
High liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 11, 26, 12:47 AMAug 31, 26, 11:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Stanford wins by over 3.5 points98%
Stanford wins by over 4.5 points92%
Stanford wins by over 7.5 points74%
Stanford wins by over 10.5 points25%
Hawai'i wins by over 7.5 points5%
Stanford wins by over 9.5 points73%
Stanford wins by over 6.5 points87%
Stanford wins by over 5.5 points89%
Hawai'i wins by over 1.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 9.5 points5%
Hawai'i wins by over 14.5 points6%
Stanford wins by over 2.5 points99%
Stanford wins by over 1.5 points99%
Stanford wins by over 11.5 points43%
Stanford wins by over 17.5 points30%
Stanford wins by over 13.5 points43%
Stanford wins by over 16.5 points30%
Stanford wins by over 14.5 points34%
Stanford wins by over 20.5 points25%
Hawai'i wins by over 3.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 2.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 4.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 10.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 17.5 points5%
Hawai'i wins by over 5.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 6.5 points1%
Hawai'i wins by over 16.5 points5%
Hawai'i wins by over 13.5 points3%
Hawai'i wins by over 11.5 points3%
99%
99%
98%
92%
89%
87%
74%
73%
25%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Stanford wins by more than 20.5 points in the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Stanford wins by more than 17.5 points in the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
