KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Boise St. wins by over 2.5 points (93%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 4:44 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Boise St. wins by over 2.5 points
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 4:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Boise St. wins by over 7.5 points51%
Boise St. wins by over 3.5 points86%
Boise St. wins by over 2.5 points93%
Boise St. wins by over 6.5 points74%
Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points2%
Boise St. wins by over 10.5 points36%
Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points2%
Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points1%
Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points2%
Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points2%
Boise St. wins by over 2.5 pointsWon
Boise St. wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Boise St. wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Boise St. wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
Boise St. wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 pointsLost
Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
If Boise St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: Only points scored during the 2nd quarter of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Boise St. wins by over 2.5 points
- If Boise St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boise St. wins by over 3.5 points
- If Boise St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boise St. wins by over 6.5 points
- If Boise St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boise St. wins by over 7.5 points
- If Boise St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boise St. wins by over 10.5 points
- If Boise St. wins by more than 10.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points
- If Fresno St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points
- If Fresno St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points
- If Fresno St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points
- If Fresno St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points
- If Fresno St. wins by more than 10.5 points in the 2nd quarter of the Boise St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.