KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Before Oct 15, 2026 No observed price
Before Oct 15, 2026 No observed priceMarket quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Las Vegas Pro Basketball Expansion Franchise Price
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KalshiWill Salt Lake City receive a Pro Baseball expansion team before Aug 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat city will get the next MLB expansion team?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before October 15, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing LeagueSports Business JournalThe Wall Street JournalAssociated PressThe New York TimesReutersESPNThe AthleticBloomberg News
- An official NBA expansion franchise award specifically naming Las Vegas or its metropolitan area is required, with formal approval by the NBA Board of Governors. The award must occur after market issuance and before the specified date, interpreted as 12:00 AM ET. Future play may begin after that date. Unofficial reporting, preliminary negotiations, selection as a prospective expansion market, stadium approval alone, and conditional awards with unresolved conditions at the deadline do not qualify. Merely choosing a preferred bidder does not qualify without the required franchise award and approval. An award announced before issuance does not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the National Basketball Association. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 15, 2026
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before October 15, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before November 1, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before December 1, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before February 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before January 1, 2028, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before January 1, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before January 1, 2030, the market resolves to Yes.
