KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityabove $3.255 46%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 42.0%
Spread
5.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 5:10 PMJul 6, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
above $3.25546%
Related Markets
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 6, 2026?
$50.5KAbove $67.99: 66%KALSHI
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Jul 7, 2026?
$16KAbove $71.99: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Silver price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$7.6Kabove $63.50: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$1.7KUp: 64%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
$369.5Up: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$236.7Up: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%Blockchain.News
Why a selloff in gold and silver is dragging bitcoin downCoindesk
Tether putting $23 billion gold stockpile to work with bullion-backed loansCoindeskHormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Gold, silver and bitcoin tumble as debasement trade unwindsCoindeskRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.850 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 5 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.
- For example, while the pyth feed may describe BRENTM6 by its April 30th, 2026 expiration date, the settlement contract is listed as June 2026 to align with the official exchange-designated delivery month for the "M" code.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.