KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Marco Bezzecchi (99%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 7:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Marco Bezzecchi
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 6:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Raul Fernandez8%
Marco Bezzecchi34%
Marc Marquez1%
Ai Ogura17%
Pedro Acosta6%
Marco BezzecchiWon
Ai OguraLost
Pedro AcostaLost
Fabio Di GiannantonioLost
Marc MarquezLost
Jorge MartinLost
Raul FernandezLost
Alex RinsLost
Fermin AldeguerLost
Maverick VinalesLost
Jack MillerLost
Johann ZarcoLost
Luca MariniLost
Fabio QuartararoLost
Franco MorbidelliLost
Enea BastianiniLost
Brad BinderLost
Somkiat ChantraLost
Francesco BagnaiaLost
Alex MarquezLost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Pertamina Grand Prix of Indonesia, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MotoGP
- If the named outcome retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
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