KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Simeon Powell (99%)
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, 1:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Simeon Powell
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
41%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Simeon Powell 99%+59.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$282.6K
Liquidity
$214.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleJul 30, 26, 1:53 AMAug 14, 26, 11:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Simeon Powell99%
Dovlet Yagshimuradov1%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026.
- If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks).
- If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters.
- If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
