KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 12:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
35%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs99%
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs18%
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs28%
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs9%
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs17%
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs8%
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runsWon
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runsLost
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runsLost
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runsLost
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runsLost
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runsLost
Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 runsLost
Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 runsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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Rules for each outcome
- Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs
- If Cleveland wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs
- If Cleveland wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
- If Cleveland wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 runs
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 5.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 runs
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
