Current implied probability
1+ HRs 31%-4.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.9K
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
3.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 5:30 PMJul 21, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1+ HRs31%
Volume trend
$18.9kJul 104d of dataJul 13
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If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 1 500+ foot home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 2 500+ foot home runs at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 3 500+ foot home runs at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 4 500+ foot home runs at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 5 500+ foot home runs at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 6 500+ foot home runs at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.