KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Jake Burger: 1+ (99%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 9:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Jake Burger: 1+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Jake Burger: 1+
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 9:26 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJake Burger: 1+ 99%Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$430.5K
Liquidity
$372.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 4:50 PMJul 30, 26, 6:35 PM
Probability Timeline
Randy Arozarena: 1+13%
Julio Rodríguez: 1+1%
Randy Arozarena: 2+1%
Julio Rodríguez: 2+2%
Wyatt Langford: 1+1%
Cole Young: 1+1%
Dominic Canzone: 1+1%
Josh Naylor: 1+2%
Luke Raley: 1+3%
Colt Emerson: 1+2%
Evan Carter: 1+1%
Ezequiel Duran: 2+1%
Elias Díaz: 1+2%
Jake Burger: 2+1%
Josh Smith: 1+2%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Cal Raleigh records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Cal Raleigh is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Cal Raleigh starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Cal Raleigh is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Cal Raleigh is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.