KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Yordan Alvarez: 1+ (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 4:41 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yordan Alvarez: 1+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
25%
SurpriseSettlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Yordan Alvarez: 1+
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 4:51 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityYordan Alvarez: 1+ 99%Leader of 36 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$219.6K
Liquidity
$210.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 28, 26, 3:11 AMAug 1, 26, 1:38 AM
Probability Timeline
Yordan Alvarez: 1+25%
Jo Adell: 1+2%
Mike Trout: 1+1%
Christian Walker: 1+99%
Yordan Alvarez: 2+13%
Jo Adell: 2+1%
Mike Trout: 2+3%
Christian Walker: 2+0%
Jose Altuve: 1+2%
Jeremy Peña: 1+3%
Zach Dezenzo: 1+6%
Vaughn Grissom: 1+5%
Nolan Schanuel: 1+5%
Isaac Paredes: 1+8%
Cam Smith: 1+3%
Christian Vázquez: 1+5%
Jorge Soler: 1+3%
Taylor Trammell: 1+5%
Wade Meckler: 1+2%
99%
2%
2%
3%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$219.6kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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If Christian Walker records 1+ home runs in Houston vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Christian Walker is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Christian Walker starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Christian Walker is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Christian Walker is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
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