This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- KXMLBHR-26JUL202140CINSEA-SEACRALEIGH29-1
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 1:45 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJ.P. Crawford: 1+ 9%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 9:52 PMJul 21, 26, 3:29 AM
Probability Timeline
J.P. Crawford: 1+9%
J.P. Crawford: 2+0%
9%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.3k93.0%
KALSHIBuddy Kennedy: 1+ — No19h ago
KALSHIBuddy Kennedy: 1+ — No19h agoVolume trend
$1.2kJul 202d of dataJul 21
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If Cal Raleigh records 1+ home runs in Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Cal Raleigh is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Cal Raleigh starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Cal Raleigh is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Cal Raleigh is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.