Current implied probability
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1+ 14%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$10.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 2:42 AMJul 24, 26, 11:07 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1+14%
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If Jonathan Aranda records 1+ home runs in Tampa Bay vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jonathan Aranda is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Jonathan Aranda starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Jonathan Aranda is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Jonathan Aranda is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.