This market resolved: Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings (28%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 12:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 12:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings
- Recorded
- Jul 12, 2026, 12:43 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityOver 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings 28%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$34.1K
Liquidity
$31.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 29.0%
Spread
3.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleJul 11, 26, 3:35 PMJul 14, 26, 11:05 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings28%
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings8%
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings5%
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings6%
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings95%
28%
8%
99%
99%
5%
6%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$34.1kJul 112d of dataJul 12
Related Markets
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
$0Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSan Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
$0San: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
$851.2KNRFI: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pro Baseball Champion
$385.4KPittsburgh: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Home Run Derby Winner
$216.3KWillson Contreras: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
MLB: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals (Jul 11, 2026)
$74.1KSTL: 51%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket keeps Golden Ball odds flat at 50% as Mbappe–Messi buzz growsBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loomBlockchain.News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Trump seeks Balogun ban review as Polymarket puts Ronaldo tears at 16.5%Blockchain.News
Ads3 and Sportix Accelerate AI-Powered SportsFi GrowthBlockchain Reporter
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.NewsRules
If Kansas City and Baltimore collectively score more than 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Kansas City vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If Kansas City and Baltimore collectively score more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Kansas City vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City and Baltimore collectively score more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Kansas City vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City and Baltimore collectively score more than 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Kansas City vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City and Baltimore collectively score more than 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Kansas City vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.