Home Run Derby Winner

2.0% (24h)SportsOne-OffBaseball8d

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Bryce Harper 11%-2.0%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$78.2K

Liquidity

$98.5K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jul 10, 26, 3:00 PMJul 21, 26, 3:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Bryce Harper11%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Jac Caglianone wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Jac Caglianone does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
In the event of a tie or co-winners, then dead-heat rules apply and each tied player's market will resolve at 1 / N, where N is the number of tied players.
If Junior Caminero wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Junior Caminero does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
If Willson Contreras wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$78.2k

Jul 103d of dataJul 12

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Home Run Derby Winner

2.0% (24h)SportsOne-OffBaseball8d

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Bryce Harper 11%-2.0%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$78.2K

Liquidity

$98.5K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jul 10, 26, 3:00 PMJul 21, 26, 3:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Bryce Harper11%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Jac Caglianone wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Jac Caglianone does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
In the event of a tie or co-winners, then dead-heat rules apply and each tied player's market will resolve at 1 / N, where N is the number of tied players.
If Junior Caminero wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Junior Caminero does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
If Willson Contreras wins the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$78.2k

Jul 103d of dataJul 12

Related Markets

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

$1.6M

NRFI: 100%

POLYMARKET

Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

$1.3M

Saitama Seibu Lions: 98%

KALSHI