What will Melania say during her roundtable discussion?
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Children (99%)
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, 7:27 PM
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Trends
ChildrenWon
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Event does not qualifyLost
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DeepfakeLost
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Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the House Ways and Means Committee Roundtable Discussion will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Ways and Means Committee Roundtable Discussion will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
- the named outcome: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "the named outcome" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Melania Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Melania Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
- Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.