KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 02:25:00 or faster (99%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 4:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
02:25:00 or faster
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
02:20:00 or faster18%
02:23:00 or faster1%
02:22:00 or faster1%
02:21:00 or faster20%
02:25:00 or faster99%
02:19:00 or faster11%
02:18:00 or faster6%
02:28:00 or faster95%
02:25:00 or fasterWon
02:28:00 or fasterLost
02:19:00 or fasterLost
02:20:00 or fasterLost
02:21:00 or fasterLost
02:18:00 or fasterLost
02:23:00 or fasterLost
02:22:00 or fasterLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:25:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- 02:25:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:25:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:28:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:28:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:19:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:19:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:20:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:20:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:21:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:21:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:18:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:18:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:23:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:23:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 02:22:00 or faster
- If any runner in the 2026 NYC Marathon Female Open Division records an official race time of 02:22:00 or faster in the 2026 NYC Marathon originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
