KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Super Nova (99%)
Resolved: Sep 10, 2026, 6:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Super Nova
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Super Nova 98%+53.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$181K
Liquidity
$91.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 6, 26, 12:41 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Super Nova99%
Tie1%
Tukums 20001%
98%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional Latvian Virsliga soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional Latvian Virsliga soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
SoccerKALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Tie+18.0pt45.5%
- Roma-10.0pt35.6%
- Fenerbahce-10.0pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
KALSHIEindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Eindhoven-19.0pt48.5%
- Tie+21.0pt38.6%
- Shakhtar-1.0pt12.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
POLYMARKETFC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- FC Bayern München+3.0pt90.2%
- Draw (FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt)-1.0pt6.9%
- FK Bodø/Glimt-1.2pt2.9%
KALSHIManchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Manchester United+3.0pt90%
- Tie-2.0pt7%
- Sabah Masazir-1.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona+0.5pt17.9%
- Bayern Munich15.1%
- Arsenal13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- Bayern Munich+2.0pt89.3%
- Tie6.8%
- Bodoe/Glimt-1.0pt3.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
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- Al Ain vs Al Wasl
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- Champions League Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Super Nova vs Tukums 2000?
- Kalshi prices Super Nova at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Super Nova vs Tukums 2000 resolve?
- Super Nova vs Tukums 2000 is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Super Nova vs Tukums 2000 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional Latvian Virsliga soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.