KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
55° to 56° 58.9%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
55° to 56° 58.9%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$520.1
Liquidity
$503.1
Low liquiditySpread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 26, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 59 F on September 25, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 60 F on September 25, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 58 F on September 25, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 26, 2026, is less than 49° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
