KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataThis market resolved: Firepit (99%)
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityPull you for a chat 1%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$551K
Liquidity
$519.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 3:45 PMJul 8, 26, 3:15 AM
Probability Timeline
Pull you for a chat72%
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal18%
Dump / Dumped25%
Loyal / Loyalty30%
Drama72%
Casa Amor24%
Marry / Married / Marriage15%
Heartbroken / Heartbreak21%
Where's your head at / Where is your head at23%
Bombshell26%
Ex1%
Hideaway19%
Firepit89%
Fiji18%
Prize / 100k / 100,00016%
Date / Dating72%
IG / Instagram / TikTok35%
Ick17%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$551.0kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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Rules
If any participating contestant (excluding host) says Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 31 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 31 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 31 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.