KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityMara 99%+26.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 4:40 PMJul 11, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mara99%
Volume trend
$15.8kJul 63d of dataJul 8
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Rules
If Aidan is officially eliminated from Love Island UK: Season 13 Before Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.
- The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.
- Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.
- Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.
- Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode don't count.