KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Deportivo Toluca FC (99%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 2:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Deportivo Toluca FC
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Deportivo Toluca FC
- Recorded
- Jul 19, 2026, 2:20 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDeportivo Toluca FC 79.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.3K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 6:47 PMAug 2, 26, 1:07 AM
Probability Timeline
No Goal24%
CD Guadalajara1%
Deportivo Toluca FC99%
19.4%
0.8%
79.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Deportivo Toluca FC
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall75% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $207.9 | $7.7K | 8 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $11.3K | $8.8K | 8 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - First Team to Score
33.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Deportivo Toluca FC (100%)
+72.0pt96.2%
-37.5pt1.9%
-33.5pt1.9%
26 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$207.9
24h Vol$207.9
POLYMARKETRules
If CD Guadalajara records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Deportivo Toluca FC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$11.3kJul 182d of dataJul 19
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If CD Guadalajara records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a team in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026.
- If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the market will resolve based on the team awarded the goal.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Deportivo Toluca FC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the CD Guadalajara vs Deportivo Toluca FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.