KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Arda Guler 99%Leader of 20 outcomes
Arda Guler 99%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$161K
Open interest
$157K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 26, 6:08 PM UTCOct 18, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Trends
Arda Guler99%
Federico Valverde14%
Endrick13%
Robbie Ure11%
Felix Correia7%
Jude Bellingham6%
Ruben Vargas6%
Aurelien Tchouameni5%
Dean Huijsen5%
Peque4%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Juan Iglesias4%
Marc Cucurella3%
No Goal3%
Yan Diomande2%
Gabriel Suazo2%
Ibrahima Konate2%
Lucien Agoume2%
Kylian Mbappe1%
Kike Salas0%
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ESPN
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored.
Rules for each outcome
- Arda Guler
- If Arda Guler records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Federico Valverde
- If Federico Valverde records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Endrick
- If Endrick records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robbie Ure
- If Robbie Ure records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Felix Correia
- If Felix Correia records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jude Bellingham
- If Jude Bellingham records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Vargas
- If Ruben Vargas records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aurelien Tchouameni
- If Aurelien Tchouameni records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dean Huijsen
- If Dean Huijsen records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Peque
- If Peque records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Youssouf Fofana
- If Youssouf Fofana records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Juan Iglesias
- If Juan Iglesias records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marc Cucurella
- If Marc Cucurella records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No Goal
- If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yan Diomande
- If Yan Diomande records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Suazo
- If Gabriel Suazo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ibrahima Konate
- If Ibrahima Konate records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lucien Agoume
- If Lucien Agoume records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kylian Mbappe
- If Kylian Mbappe records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kike Salas
- If Kike Salas records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
