KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Hikaru Shiraishi (80%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 2:47 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Hikaru Shiraishi
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Taiyo Yamanaka23%
Hikaru Shiraishi80%
Hikaru ShiraishiWon
Taiyo YamanakaLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Hikaru Shiraishi wins the Shiraishi vs Yamanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Yanagawa City Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Shiraishi vs Yamanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Yanagawa City Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Hikaru Shiraishi
- If Hikaru Shiraishi wins the Shiraishi vs Yamanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Yanagawa City Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taiyo Yamanaka
- If Taiyo Yamanaka wins the Shiraishi vs Yamanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Yanagawa City Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.