KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Sebastian Sec (80%)
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, 11:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 3, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilitySebastian Sec 77.7%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$451.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
23.0% / 43.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 26, 5:33 PMAug 16, 26, 6:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Stepan Baum23%
Sebastian Sec80%
22.3%
77.7%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If Stepan Baum wins the Baum vs Sec professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Poprad Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Baum vs Sec professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Poprad Round of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50.
- If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.