KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,380 or above 94%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$133
Liquidity
$133
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 64.0%
Spread
45.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 8:00 PMJul 28, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,400 or above70%
Volume trend
$133Jul 272d of dataJul 28
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If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 28, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7249.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 28, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 28, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 28, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7254.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.