KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: 7,515 or above (69%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 5:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
7,515 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability7,505 or above 99%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$36.6K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 7, 26, 1:00 PMJul 7, 26, 5:00 PM
Probability Timeline
7,505 or above99%
7,515 or above69%
7,500 or above99%
7,510 or above92%
7,520 or above18%
7,525 or above0%
7,490 or above81%
7,530 or above0%
7,495 or above67%
7,480 or above0%
7,485 or above88%
7,475 or above0%
7,325 or above0%
7,330 or above0%
7,335 or above0%
7,340 or above0%
7,345 or above0%
7,350 or above0%
7,355 or above0%
7,360 or above0%
7,365 or above0%
7,370 or above0%
7,375 or above0%
7,380 or above0%
7,385 or above0%
7,390 or above0%
7,395 or above0%
7,400 or above0%
7,405 or above0%
7,410 or above0%
7,415 or above0%
7,420 or above0%
7,425 or above0%
7,430 or above0%
7,435 or above0%
7,440 or above0%
7,445 or above0%
7,450 or above0%
7,455 or above0%
7,460 or above0%
7,465 or above0%
7,470 or above0%
7,535 or above0%
7,540 or above0%
7,545 or above0%
7,550 or above0%
7,555 or above0%
7,560 or above0%
7,565 or above0%
7,570 or above0%
7,575 or above0%
7,580 or above0%
7,585 or above0%
7,590 or above0%
7,595 or above0%
7,600 or above0%
7,605 or above0%
7,610 or above0%
7,615 or above0%
7,620 or above0%
99%
69%
99%
92%
18%
3%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 7, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7324.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 07, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 07, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 7, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7329.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.