KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98%)
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityYes 98%+59.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.5K
Liquidity
$93.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 28 days ago
StaleJun 27, 26, 12:00 AMJun 29, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
98%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 98% | — | $16.5K | $93.8 | 28 days ago | |
 Limitless90% match · auto | Low | 97% | — | $0 | $0 | 28 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (97.4%)
97.4%
2.6%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.8K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on June 29, 2026 is above 7354.02, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on June 29, 2026 is above 7354.02, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.